This table replays every domestic league match at historical bookmaker prices. It does not describe real orders, Polymarket performance, a token return or a forecast.
2020/21 through 2025/26: Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga and Serie A. 24 complete league-seasons, 468 club-seasons and 8,676 matches. Current club pages use the shared ESPN identity scheme and the current sports snapshot; historical membership is determined by the source season, not today’s membership.
Stake $25 on the club to win every league match. Draws and losses return zero. A win returns stake × decimal odds, including the original stake. Net P&L is total payouts minus total stakes. There is no compounding, selective skipping or profit withdrawal.
Return on stakes = net P&L / cumulative stakes. This is not annualized and cumulative stakes are not the initial bankroll. Bundesliga has 34 games; the other leagues have 38. Ranking uses return percentage to normalize the different counts.
Primary source: Football-Data AvgCH / AvgCA, the average closing home/away win odds. Alternative: B365CH / B365CA, Bet365 closing odds. Every match selects its own actual home or away quote, never the best price chosen after seeing the result.
Average odds are a synthetic benchmark, not a tradable venue. Even a named bookmaker quote is not proof of a fill. Bookmaker margin is embedded; additional fees, slippage, commissions, gas, liquidity limits and failed orders are not modeled. Closing prices are not prices exactly one hour before kickoff.
A single-season table includes clubs with all matches and quotes for that season. The six-season table requires all six complete seasons. Incomplete histories remain visible below the table and on club pages, without a rank or invented zero return. Historical members remain eligible even when they have since left the top division. Current clubs without historical data remain in the club directory.
Equal unrounded returns share a rank. No retrospective choice of only profitable clubs. Both pricing benchmarks validate all 468 club-seasons without missing win quotes.
Club pages show each season’s maximum peak-to-trough drop in cumulative dollar P&L, starting from zero. Seasons reset for this statistic. Past performance does not demonstrate a persistent edge: the six-season complete-history group has survivorship bias, and outcomes are correlated across opponents and seasons.
Real predictions and future token performance will be separate records. Buying a fan token does not grant ownership of this historical return or a proportional claim on treasury assets.
Football-Data historical files ↗
Source column definitions ↗
Download club-season results, source URLs and SHA-256 hashes ↗
Built 2026-09-11. Historical data is frozen for this edition; current sports snapshots have independent timestamps. Future corrections must be recorded, not silently substituted for a new strategy.