Paper leverage ×1–1000Trade before and during the game100 xUSD daily, balance carries overSLIP rewards are recorded now; a wallet is for claiming laterPaper leverage ×1–1000Trade before and during the game100 xUSD daily, balance carries overSLIP rewards are recorded now; a wallet is for claiming later

Mon 9 Nov

PRICE OF BELIEF / SPORTS LEVERAGE SIMULATION

Pick a game.
Make your move.

Bitcoin’s next five minutes, the Fed’s decision, oil and gold — and football, the NFL and NCAA. Choose an outcome and go long or short with paper margin at up to 1000× before or during the game. Trade as a guest and keep your liquidation rewards in SLIP. When claiming opens, you claim them with a wallet. No real money.

Choose a game ↓My positions →Telegram ↗

PAPER LEVERAGE · NO REAL MONEY ↗Choose an outcome. Go long or short.×1000Maximum leverage · 100 xUSD daily, carried over

Play without a wallet. First use each day grants 100 xUSD, and the balance carries over. This browser holds your guest identity; clearing its data may lose access to an unlinked account.

Choose a game. Open a position.

Crypto and finance markets from Polymarket, sports read from Spocal, reference prices from public prediction markets. Go long or short before and during the game at ×1–1000, using xUSD; receive 100 daily, carry over the balance and open multiple positions.

CryptoTrading

Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Settles in 6m · 9 Nov, 15:50 JST

Up52.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:41 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Settles in 6m · 9 Nov, 15:50 JST

Up51.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:47 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1AM ET

Settles in 16m · 9 Nov, 16:00 JST

Up3.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:47 JST

CryptoTrading

Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1AM ET

Settles in 16m · 9 Nov, 16:00 JST

Up1.450%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:46 JST

CryptoTrading

Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Settles in 16m · 9 Nov, 16:00 JST

Up54.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:42 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Settles in 16m · 9 Nov, 16:00 JST

Up53.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:43 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Settles in 2h 16m · 9 Nov, 18:00 JST

Up10.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:47 JST

CryptoTrading

Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Settles in 2h 16m · 9 Nov, 18:00 JST

Up5.000%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:46 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?

Settles in 10h 16m · 10 Nov, 02:00 JST

Up11.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:49 JST

CryptoTrading

Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?

Settles in 10h 16m · 10 Nov, 02:00 JST

Up2.150%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:48 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?

Settles in 10h 16m · 10 Nov, 02:00 JST

72,00092.850%

Reference

74,00055.050%

Reference

76,0008.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:49 JST

CryptoTrading

Ethereum above ___ on November 9?

Settles in 10h 16m · 10 Nov, 02:00 JST

2,00096.400%

Reference

2,10056.150%

Reference

2,2004.950%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:50 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin price on November 9?

Settles in 10h 16m · 10 Nov, 02:00 JST

70,000-72,0005.500%

Reference

72,000-74,00038.350%

Reference

74,000-76,00050.650%

Reference

76,000-78,0006.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:50 JST

FinanceTrading

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?

Settles in 14h 16m · 10 Nov, 06:00 JST

Up69.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:48 JST

CryptoTrading

Bitcoin above ___ on November 10?

Settles in 1d 10h 16m · 11 Nov, 02:00 JST

70,00095.300%

Reference

72,00084.950%

Reference

74,00053.700%

Reference

76,00018.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:50 JST

FinanceTrading

Core CPI YoY - October 2026

Settles in 1d 22h 15m · 11 Nov, 13:59 JST

2.5%8.750%

Reference

2.6%88.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:40 JST

FinanceTrading

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Settles in 7d 22h 15m · 17 Nov, 13:59 JST

-1.6%– -0.8%12.150%

Reference

-0.8%–0.0%21.000%

Reference

0.0%–0.8%28.000%

Reference

0.8%–1.6%—

No reference price

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:23 JST

FinanceTrading

Anthropic IPO Date

Settles in 21d 22h 15m · 1 Dec, 13:59 JST

November 1913.550%

Reference

November 2026.000%

Reference

November 25—

No reference price

No IPO by November 30, 202618.000%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:25 JST

FinanceTrading

Largest Company end of November 2026?

Settles in 21d 22h 15m · 1 Dec, 13:59 JST

NVIDIA15.500%

Reference

Apple85.000%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:32 JST

FinanceTrading

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?

Settles in 21d 22h 16m · 1 Dec, 13:59 JST

↓ $8035.500%

Reference

↓ $8572.500%

Reference

↑ $10037.500%

Reference

↑ $9562.500%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:26 JST

FinanceTrading

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in November 2026?

Settles in 21d 22h 16m · 1 Dec, 13:59 JST

↓ $16866.500%

Reference

↓ $16044.350%

Reference

↑ $20032.000%

Reference

↑ $19264.000%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:39 JST

FinanceTrading

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?

Settles in 21d 22h 16m · 1 Dec, 13:59 JST

↑ $4,30043.000%

Reference

↑ $4,20070.000%

Reference

↓ $3,90032.000%

Reference

↓ $4,00063.000%

Reference

Polymarket market ↗Quoted 15:43:21 JST

Simulation rules and reference prices

Opens and closes fill at once, at the Polymarket book’s live midpoint at the moment you click, which can differ from the minute-old price on the page; when the book cannot be read or is one-sided, at the next valid quote. P&L is margin × leverage × the price return; losses stop at the margin.
Prices are reference probabilities, not executable quotes. Missing/stale prices, paused games and unknown status block opens. Existing positions wait through outages; finished games close at the next valid reference price, never an invented stale fill.
First use of each JST day grants 100 xUSD; balances carry over and missed days are not backfilled. At most five active positions. Opens reserve margin; closes return remaining margin and net profit.
The platform never takes the other side: winners are paid only from what losers put in. Lost margin flows into the pool; profits are paid out of it, less 10% of each payment (half a platform fee, half to the SLIP reward pool). When the pool is short, the rest is queued and paid as later losses arrive. A position can win at most 1000× its margin; opens stop near settlement (football from 85′, the last five minutes of the 4th, MLB from the 9th, the last minute of 5- and 15-minute crypto windows, the last ten minutes elsewhere). Daily xUSD is simulation issuance, not pool money.
Open positions are marked, and liquidated, on the book price once a minute; the path between minutes cannot be reconstructed, so liquidations are sampled. Opens and closes themselves use the live price at the click.
Losses and liquidations record SLIP rewards at a rate set by the pool: the full ×10 while it holds under 100,000 xUSD (less what it owes), less as it grows; leverage counts up to ×100. SLIP rewards are not pool shares and receive no automatic dividends. They are recorded now; when claiming opens, you claim them by signing in with a wallet. xUSD cannot be redeemed or withdrawn.

My paper account

SLIP / WALLET

SLIP rewards

Trade without a wallet. SLIP rewards are recorded to your account; nothing to claim yet. When claiming opens, you sign in with a wallet to claim. You can link one now; your history stays.

Recording only; claiming is not open yet. Linking is a signature to prove the wallet is yours — no transaction, no approval.

Longshot Slip · SLIPRobinhood Chain · 4663

0x51ed3cA1f20f1C6880d0dd217A4A8DBE2c58746B ↗

Simulated SLIP rewards—Recorded here; not delivered on-chain

Wallet SLIP on-chainConnect to viewRobinhood Chain

Token on explorer ↗Existing SLIP market ↗

This is the existing SLIP contract. Simulation rewards and wallet token balances are separate, with no automatic conversion. On-chain claiming is not open yet; when it opens you claim by signing in with a wallet.

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